Bills 31, Dolphins 21

Call it JP Losman disease or maybe Ryan Fitzpatrick disease. The symptoms are easy to recognize:  play a good game through 55 minutes, make good passes, inspire the confidence of your teammates, drive your team to a position to tie or take the lead late in the game – then throw a crucial and baffling interception to seal the game in your opponent’s favour. Tua Tagovailoa presented with a textbook case of this ailment last Thursday night in Orchard Park which left his team at 0-3 and cruising for a high pick in the 2026 NFL draft.

The close-up replay showed Tua’s eyes looking only to his right and Bills linebacker Terrell Bernard locked in on where the pass was going and he made what looked like the easiest interception he’s ever made. Tua couldn’t have telegraphed the play better if he had arranged to have it shown on the video screen at Highmark Stadium. It wasn’t a deflected pass (although one angle did show that a Bills defender's hand grazed the ball without changing its trajectory); wind didn’t effect it; it wasn’t overthrown or underthrown. Bernard knew where it was going and he effortlessly stepped in and grabbed it. One more first down by Elijah Moore and the Bills were 3-0 with the early inside track on the AFC’s number one seed four months from now.

The Miami Dolphins impressed me with their effort and execution on Thursday and, without a key special teams penalty and the aforementioned crushing interception, they played more than well enough to have won the game, salvaged their season, lowered the temperature on their coach’s seat and given their fan base some hope. But now they will have 11 days to regroup and prepare for the Jets at home on next week’s early game on Monday Night Football. Even at 1-3, it will be a tough but not impossible road to regain respectability. The problem will probably continue to be their quarterback and his propensity to hand games away. One analyst commented that the Dolphins probably played their best game on Thursday but it still wasn’t good enough. If they lose to the Jets a week from tonight, look for Mike McDaniel to be the first coaching casualty of 2025 with a key player or two like Tyreek Hill being traded for draft picks.

As for the Bills, they won the game the way that good teams do – without playing their best game but still finding a way. Their defence has been sporadic through three games although its seemingly solid performance against the New York Jets in week two may prove to have been an aberration because of the utter ineptitude of the opponent. Still, at 3-0, the Bills are well-positioned to achieve their regular season objective – the number one seed in the AFC and the bye through the first playoff round which it carries.

Through week three, only six NFL teams are sporting perfect 3-0 records – three in each conference. Along with the Bills, the Colts and Chargers lead the AFC with undefeated records while the Eagles, Bucs and 49ers sit atop the NFC. The Chargers appear to be the most likely to challenge Buffalo for the top seed in the AFC but with 14 games to go, it’s obviously too early to really say. The Bills and Chargers do not face each other this season. In the NFC, it would be foolish to bet against the defending champion Eagles.

When the Jets blocked a field goal and returned it for a touchdown late in yesterday’s game in Tampa to take a one-point lead, I was pulling for them not to give up the game-losing drive but in typical Jets fashion, that’s exactly what they did and they remain winless along with the Dolphins, Texans and Titans. In the NFC, only the Giants and Saints are still winless. The Patriots found a way to lose again, this time to the Steelers at home, to slip to 1-2. The Bills do have a clear advantage in the AFC with six division games against three weak teams, something that they share with the Colts but not with the Chargers.

Up next, the New Orleans Saints, widely considered to be “on the clock” for the first overall pick in the 2026 NFL draft, make their once-every-eight-years trip to Orchard Park. The Saints lead the all-time series 7-5 with the Bills winning the most recent match-up in the Big Easy four years ago. But, their last trip to western New York, in a game I attended in Sean McDermott’s first year as Buffalo’s head coach in 2017, is a game he would like to forget as Drew Brees and the Saints delivered the Bills a 47-10 drubbing. This will be the sixth time that the Saints have ever played in Buffalo and by strange happenstance, I will have personally attended three of them with the first being a December 1989 loss to the Bobby Hebert led Saints – a game and a time I remember for being just a few days after the Ecole Polytechnique de Montreal massacre.

With the new stadium construction in full-swing, parking is scarce and egress from the parking lots is reportedly the worst it has ever been. After each of the two games I attended last season, we were pinned for over an hour either in the parking lot or on a stadium exit road overrun by pedestrians streaming out with what looked like no effort on the part of Erie County Sheriffs to manage traffic flow – like they had just given up and were using the Lord of the Flies approach and were just hoping no one was hurt or killed. Promises have been made about greatly improved traffic flow with an emphasis on the latest in traffic engineering when the new stadium opens. So, for this week, we’re hoping for a comfortable Bills lead early in the fourth quarter, an early exit and a smooth trip home.